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Jun 26, 2026

Republican In Oregon Polling Ahead of Dem Incumbent

There is a potential massive upset brewing in the state of Oregon, which has long been a blue stronghold despite vast pockets of conservatism.

The Republican gubernatorial candidate there got some unexpectedly good news this week in the form of polling against incumbent left-wing Democratic Gov. Tina Kotek.

Republican State Sen. Christine Drazan is polling four points ahead of Kotek, according to a new poll from the research firm Public Opinion Strategies.

On Thursday, Drazan toured manufacturing facilities in Eugene and Springfield and discussed her thoughts on public education requirements.

“We took away our requirements for graduation some years ago,” Drazan said, according to local reports.

“It’s time to restore graduation requirements and know that our students are going to be prepared for community college, or the trades, or college, whatever they want in their future, that our public education is going to help them get there,” she continued.

“Today, we found that that has not been the case. We need to ensure that by attending a public school, you’re not going to be left behind,” she added.

Drazan also discussed her lead in the polls.

“This isn’t about what color jersey you wear,” Drazan said. “This is certainly not about personality contests or anything like that. This place that we live in is extraordinary.

“We shouldn’t be losing people to Texas or Nevada or Arizona or Tennessee or anywhere else,” Drazan continued.

“People should want to live here because it’s the best place to live,” she added.

“And so we just have to work on solving these problems differently. We need a new vision and a new direction for our state.”

The last Republican to hold the governorship in Oregon was Vic Atiyeh, who served from 1979 to 1987.

Also, last month, the Cook Political Report changed the Oregon governor’s race from Solid Democrat (the highest possible Democrat rating) to Likely Democrat.

The change was made on July 10, well before Public Opinion Strategies poll was released, meaning that the shift to Drazan has likely been occurring for weeks.

“Oregon’s gubernatorial races have become something of a nagging headache for Democrats, in part because the policies that play well with Portland progressives are poisonous elsewhere in the state,” the report stated in its race summary.

The Cook Political Report shifted its rating for Oregon’s 5th Congressional District on July 16 from Likely Democratic to Solid Democratic, signaling stronger prospects for incumbent Rep. Janelle Bynum, D-Ore., in her race against Republican Deschutes County Commissioner Patti Adair.

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